Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 176.337842 192.966972 209.947906 228.555306 248.341523 268.723330 291.275609
2024-12-15 148.638540 173.444741 199.929079 230.182808 263.657292 299.436752 340.443465
2024-12-22 127.944090 158.599858 192.706418 233.150635 279.480708 330.581519 390.883677
2024-12-29 114.333335 149.810546 190.778053 240.980715 300.226902 367.318602 448.414648
2025-01-05 102.166174 141.119703 187.698380 246.518460 317.808209 400.426979 502.381133
2025-01-12 89.272218 130.003785 180.416015 245.950574 327.404366 423.852595 545.150043
2025-01-19 78.456915 120.272231 173.761294 245.209565 336.091966 445.814057 586.155636
2025-01-26 72.887379 116.772500 174.501387 253.373206 355.613523 480.994458 643.536521
2025-02-02 67.495017 112.893631 174.247317 259.884560 372.873343 513.450935 697.947440
2025-02-09 63.024212 109.810478 174.659256 266.977719 390.753609 546.764485 753.770020
2025-02-16 58.806689 106.648286 174.605966 273.188094 407.377200 578.573327 808.039504
2025-02-23 50.876020 97.122914 164.885051 265.510286 405.045332 585.694505 830.796397
2025-03-02 44.848013 90.069415 158.362511 262.070257 408.415220 600.488468 864.032675
2025-03-09 40.849139 85.894515 155.784184 264.021215 419.087091 625.004434 910.253153
2025-03-16 37.586720 82.616921 154.304562 267.389469 431.688424 652.224963 960.392514
2025-03-23 35.830964 81.757644 156.458145 276.092681 451.900603 689.940614 1024.892422
2025-03-30 33.671667 79.954771 156.957802 282.237786 468.518175 722.985147 1083.598834
2025-04-06 30.362633 75.686972 153.177247 281.627716 475.274300 742.549482 1124.432662
2025-04-13 27.350759 71.633822 149.441402 280.819118 481.561959 761.413514 1164.429881
2025-04-20 26.319102 71.350584 151.978007 289.835974 502.398808 800.715374 1232.582281
2025-04-27 25.054459 70.457959 153.378907 297.021327 520.585396 836.500667 1296.302279
2025-05-04 23.985333 69.849332 155.192270 304.841841 539.781818 873.874948 1362.528347
2025-05-11 22.839114 68.953239 156.416656 311.684149 557.571446 909.441770 1426.615293